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Forex Charting 101
Technical analysis is probably the most commonly utilized means of
decision making and analysis in the foreign exchange market.
Technical analysis and fundamental analysis are very different.
Unlike fundamental analysis, technical analysis actually ignores the
fundamental factors, such as economic conditions and news, and is
only applied to the price action of the market. Technical analysis
for Forex mostly consists of a variety of Forex technical studies.
Each of these studies can be interpreted to generate buy and sell
signals or to help predict market direction.
The
Trend
"The trend is your friend," is one of the first things that are
often heard in technical analysis. Traders find the prevailing trend
to make themselves aware of the general market direction. To
identify the long-term trend the daily, weekly and monthly charts
are most ideally suited. When the technical trader identifies the
overall trend, they will usually begin identifying the trend of
their chosen trading timeframes.
Support
and Resistance
The points where a chart experiences recurring upward or
downward pressure are known as support and resistance levels. The
support levels exist at the lows and the resistance levels exist at
the highs. When the levels are broken, the generally become the
opposite. An example of this would be a support level breaking to
the downside. It would often become a new resistance level. In a
market that is on the rise, a broken resistance level could become
support for the upward trend. Likewise, a support level that is
broken in a market that is on the decline could become a new
resistance level for the downward trend.
Trend Lines and
Channels
If you are looking for simple yet helpful tools to
confirm the direction of market trends, you could turn to the trend
lines. To draw an upward straight line, you would connect at least
two successful lows (however, you would preferably connect more). It
is necessary that each successive point on the line be higher than
the previous point. The line's continuation helps to determine the
path that the market will move along. An upward trend is a solid way
to find support lines and levels. To chart the downward lines you
would also connect two or more points. The validity of a trend line
is, in part, related to the number of points that are connected.
Moving Averages
To identify the overall trend, moving
averages can be very helpful. The moving averages show the average
price of a currency at a specific point over a specific period of
time. Because they reflect the latest average while still adhering
to the same time measure, they are called "moving".
Moving
averages are not perfect. Because they lag the market, they don't
necessarily alert the trader to a change in the trends at the best
time. To counteract this issue, it is best to use a short period of
time when using moving averages. This makes it more reflective of
the recent price action than it would be if you use a longer period.
However, the moving averages of short periods are subject to more
false trend-change alerts.
As an alternate, the trader can
use the moving averages by combining two averages of different
periods. When the shorter-term average crosses over the longer-term
average, buy signals are usually detected. Likewise, sell signals
are detected when the shorter-term average falls below the
longer-term average.
Mathematically distinct moving averages
have three main types: 1) Simple Moving Average (SMA), 2)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and 3) Weighted Moving Average
(WMA). The EMAs and the WMAs give greater importance to the most
recent price data. SMAs give equal importance to all of the data in
the period. Because of these differences, many traders prefer EMAs
and WMAs over the SMAs to help counteract the lag in moving average
alerts.
Indicators and Oscillators
Indicators and
oscillators vary greatly in both their derivation and their usage.
The indicators, which can be found right on the candles or price
bars, include moving averages, Parabolic SAR, Bollinger Bands and
much more. These indicators are usually lagging, providing a
historical view of the price action. The indicators can often
confirm or provide clues as to the direction of present momentum and
past trends.
On the other hand, the oscillators are generally
shown separately above or below the price bars. Like the indicators,
the oscillators are also lagging. The oscillators are good at
revealing oversold and overbought conditions. Because of this, the
oscillators are most useful for traders who would like to identify
ranging circumstances, rather than trending circumstances. The
oscillators include RSI, Stochastics, MACD and more.
Drawing
Tools
Other technical drawing tools are, like analysis tools,
popular and also varied. Chart drawing tools have a large number of
adherents, with several different versions of Fibonacci formations,
Andrew's Pitchfork, the Gann Fan and much more. Many of these
analyses are used to reveal areas of importance, such as the support
and resistance levels. The most basic drawing tools are the trend
lines, regardless of whether they are diagonal or horizontal. Beyond
the trend lines, the drawing tools become increasingly complex and
are often created from complex mathematical foundations.
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